Uzbekistan’s chances of winning the World Cup assessed

Uzbekistan’s chances of winning the World Cup assessed
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  • 25.05.2026 17:08:00
  • 1 min read

The Opta statistics portal The Analyst has published its rankings of the favorites for the upcoming FIFA World Cup.

According to the predictions, Uzbekistan has a 0.07% chance of becoming world champion. The probability of advancing from the group stage is estimated at 5.45%.

Stage-by-stage probabilities for Uzbekistan:

🔹 Round of 16: 12.25%
🔹 Quarter-finals: 3.78%
🔹 Semi-finals: 1.16%
🔹 Final: 0.32%
🔹 Winning the tournament: 0.07%

The main tournament favorites are listed as Spain (15.43%), France (12.54%), England (10.88%), and Argentina (10.28%).

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be hosted by United States, Canada, and Mexico. A total of 48 national teams will participate in the tournament.

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